Bitcoin is trading at $112,820, down 1.60% in the past 24 hours.
Key Takeaways
➤ Crypto market loses momentum after a crash and rebound over the weekend.
➤ Cautious investor sentiment and fallout of last week’s crash weigh on the market.
➤ Recovery remains fragile as it is seen as a reflex bounce rather than a conviction-driven rally.
➤ BNB, XRP, and TRX are trading in the red.
Macro factors at play
Confidence briefly returned after both Washington and Beijing issued calmer statements over the weekend, easing fears of a full-blown trade war between the two countries. However, broader risk appetite remains sensitive to macro conditions, including U.S. dollar strength, Treasury yields, and Federal Reserve commentary.
If U.S.-China tensions stay contained and the Fed signals patience on rate policy, risk assets like Bitcoin could stabilize further. But any escalation in trade rhetoric or renewed hawkishness from the Fed could reignite volatility across both traditional and digital markets.
Support and resistance levels
Support levels
- $107K – $110.9K: A near-term cushion zone where buyers may step in if prices dip.
- $102.5K – $105K: Secondary support; if the first zone fails, this range could be the next line of defense.
- $95K – $100K: Long-term base region; a drop into this area would likely be met with strong demand.
Resistance levels
- $117.5K – $120K: Immediate ceiling that must be breached to validate bullish continuation.
- $122K – $125K: Stronger resistance zone, especially meaningful given prior highs near $125K.
- $128K – $130K+: If the rally sustains, this is where momentum would be tested against old all-time highs.
What to watch
ETF flows and institutional capital
Watch for sustained net inflows into BTC and crypto ETFs. If institutional demand remains strong, it can underpin price strength even amid volatility. Conversely, weakness or reversals in flows could trigger fresh pressure.
Macro signals and geopolitics
Any escalation in US-China rhetoric, surprises in Fed commentary, or shifts in Treasury yields could quickly sway risk sentiment. A strong dollar or hawkish tone from central banks would work against the crypto rally.
On-chain signals and network health
Pay close attention to active address counts, daily transaction volume, new wallet growth, and accumulation by large holders. Upticks in these metrics would lend credence to the price recovery; stagnation or decline could suggest the rebound lacks conviction.
Altcoin breadth and rotation
Strength outside of Bitcoin, particularly in ETH, SOL, and Layer-1s, would indicate funds rotating into more speculative assets, which could fuel extension. Lagging alt performance could signal risk aversion.
Derivative indicators and leverage
Keep an eye on funding rates, open interest across futures, and liquidations. High leverage exposure can amplify both upswings and downswings, making days with aggressive moves particularly volatile.
News catalysts and regulatory developments
Announcements like ETF approvals, stablecoin regulations, or institutional adoption news can trigger sharp repricings. Stay nimble, breaking headlines may override technical setups in the short term.
Market outlook
The crypto market appears to be in a recovery phase, not yet a full-blown breakout. If Bitcoin can hold above $110K-$113K and push through the $117K-$120K resistance zone with volume, the path toward $125K and beyond will reopen. But if ETF flows falter, macro pressures dominate, or on-chain signals weaken again, the market could revisit deeper support zones. For now, volatility remains the default state, and watching flow, fundamentals, and macro cues will be essential for staying ahead.
Top gainers
Date: 14 Oct. 2025, 11:10 a.m.
Top losers
Date: 14 Oct. 2025, 11:10 a.m.
